Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3355
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
MQ 3355 · XNA → CLT
departs 5:03 AM CT · arrives 8:19 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Mon 10/12 14%
Tue 10/13 8%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 12%
Fri 10/16 11%
Sat 10/17 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at XNA that day
↑
XNA is prone to delays
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.71 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.