Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4083
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
MQ 4083 · SGF → CLT
departs 6:53 AM CT · arrives 10:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Mon 10/12 6%
Tue 10/13 5%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 6%
Fri 10/16 8%
Sat 10/17 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at SGF that day
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
This flight has been late 6% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.79 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.