Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5095 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

OH 5095 · DCA → PIT

departs 5:02 PM ET · arrives 6:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 53h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at PIT that day

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5095 · DCA → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?