Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4245
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4245 · INL → MSP
departs 11:03 AM CT · arrives 12:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Mon 10/12 11%
Tue 10/13 10%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 11%
Fri 10/16 20%
Sat 10/17 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave INL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
INL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
INL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.