Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4663
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4663 · DEN → BIS
departs 10:05 AM MT · arrives 12:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 13%
Sat 10/17 11%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at BIS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BIS?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
DEN is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BIS
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.24 in
BIS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 9,167 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.