Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4663
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 4663 · DEN → BIS
departs 10:05 AM MT · arrives 12:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14 19%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 13%
Sat 10/17 11%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BIS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BIS?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
10am departures from DEN are often late
↓
Arrivals into BIS at that hour are usually not late
↓
BIS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.27 in
BIS (destination)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.