Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4688
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4688 · DEN → FAR
departs 9:35 AM MT · arrives 12:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Tue 10/13 15%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 15%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 13%
Sun 10/18 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at FAR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAR?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
9am departures from DEN are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAR
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.43 in
FAR (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.