Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4688
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 4688 · DEN → FAR
departs 9:35 AM MT · arrives 12:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Tue 10/13 14%
Wed 10/14 25%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 13%
Sun 10/18 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±6 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at FAR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAR?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
FAR usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAR
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.23 in
FAR (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.