Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4726
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4726 · DEN → MOT
departs 10:07 AM MT · arrives 1:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Tue 10/13 18%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 16%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MOT more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MOT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MOT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MOT?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
10am departures from DEN are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MOT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.733333 mi Precip 0.19 in
MOT (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 8,733 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.