Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5261
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5261 · IAH → TUL
departs 7:40 AM CT · arrives 9:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Mon 10/12 12%
Tue 10/13 18%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 15%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TUL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.