Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5444
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5444 · DEN → ASE
departs 7:45 AM MT · arrives 8:46 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Tue 10/13 10%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 10%
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 11%
Sun 10/18 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 1.33333 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ASE that day
↑
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.24 in
ASE (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 1.33333 mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.