Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5514
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5514 · DEN → HSV
departs 10:15 AM MT · arrives 2:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 15%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 13%
Sun 10/18 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at HSV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HSV?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
DEN is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.733333 mi Precip 0.24 in
HSV (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.