Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5514
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 5514 · DEN → HSV
departs 10:15 AM MT · arrives 2:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14 23%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 13%
Sun 10/18 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at HSV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HSV?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
10am departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.30 in
HSV (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.