Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6263
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 6263 · FNT → ORD
departs 5:58 AM ET · arrives 6:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Tue 10/13 8%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 13%
Fri 10/16 10%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.2d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave FNT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FNT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.