Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6263
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
OO 6263 · FNT → ORD
departs 6:11 AM ET · arrives 6:34 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Tue 10/13 7%
Wed 10/14 25%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 10%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave FNT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FNT (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.