Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 6046
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
PT 6046 · CLT → MOB
departs 11:13 AM ET · arrives 12:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Mon 10/12 13%
Tue 10/13 8%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MOB more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MOB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at MOB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MOB?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
PT's recent on-time record
↑
11am departures from CLT are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MOB
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MOB (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.