Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 538SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
QK 538 · YTZ → LGA
departs 6:08 PM EDT · arrives 7:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±10 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.