Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2347
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
QX 2347 · BOI → SEA
departs 9:57 AM MT · arrives 10:35 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Tue 10/13 25%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 27%
Fri 10/16 26%
Sat 10/17 22%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SEA that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.