Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2347
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
QX 2347 · BOI → SEA
departs 9:58 AM MT · arrives 10:36 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Wed 10/14 28%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 26%
Sat 10/17 22%
Sun 10/18 22%
Mon 10/19 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at SEA that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI
Weather at each end
BOI (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.