Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3064 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

SY 3064 · BWI → BNA

departs 10:29 PM ET · arrives 11:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 58h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3064 · BWI → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?