tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1870 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1870 · MSP → EWR

departs 6:15 AM CT · arrives 10:03 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
4% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 6.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    95%
  2. 15–30 min late
    1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.