tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 512 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 512 · IAH → DCA

departs 7:40 AM CT · arrives 11:40 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
8% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.4d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    92%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.