Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 732 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

UA 732 · DEN → MSP

departs 2:06 PM MT · arrives 5:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 2pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.42 in

MSP (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 732 · DEN → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?