Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BAHAMASAIR · FLIGHT UP 204SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UP 204 · FLL → NAS
departs 1:52 PM ET · arrives 2:58 PM EDT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±2 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to NAS?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.