Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1163
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow
WN 1163 · LGA → MCI
departs 5:31 PM ET · arrives 7:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 44%
Fri 10/16 50%
Sun 10/18 27%
Mon 10/19 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 467 ft, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCI that day
↑
5pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.