Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 121
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow
WN 121 · ABQ → DEN
departs 12:40 PM MT · arrives 2:02 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 15%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 11%
Mon 10/19 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at ABQ that day
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.733333 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.