Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2164
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow
WN 2164 · BNA → BOS
departs 1:16 PM CT · arrives 4:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Wed 10/14
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↑
1pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.