Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2330
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
WN 2330 · DEN → STL
departs 6:21 PM MT · arrives 9:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Tue 10/13 33%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 24%
Fri 10/16 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.24 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.59 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.