Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3077
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
WN 3077 · MSP → MDW
departs 5:32 AM CT · arrives 7:07 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 3%
Tue 10/13 2%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 3%
Fri 10/16 2%
Sat 10/17 2%
Sun 10/18 2%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
4%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
4%
Leave 15+ late
4%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 9,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.