Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 935
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
WN 935 · DEN → MSP
departs 10:01 AM MT · arrives 1:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Tue 10/13 16%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 10%
Fri 10/16 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
10am departures from DEN are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.42 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 9,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.