tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR PREMIA · FLIGHT YP 131 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

YP 131 · ICN → EWR

departs 9:23 PM KST · arrives 9:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 92h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Wednesday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
36% chance · ±28 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    62%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    16%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.