Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5763
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
YX 5763 · DCA → LGA
departs 5:40 PM ET · arrives 6:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Tue 10/13 30%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 52%
Fri 10/16 58%
Sat 10/17 26%
Sun 10/18 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 47% of the time recently
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
5pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.