Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2395 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

Thursday, October 15

AA 2395 · MIA → GUA

departs 1:14 PM ET · arrives 1:55 PM CST

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 97h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Thursday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at GUA more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.

How late will it get to GUA?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

Typical odds come from past years’ weather on this date, so there are no forecast drivers yet.

Weather at each end

Too early for a weather forecast for Thu, Oct 15. These odds use the weather this date has had in past years; the forecast for MIA and GUA appears here about 3 days before departure.

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2395 · MIA → GUA

Odds over time

How late will it get to GUA?