Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2691SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
AA 2691 · MIA → FDF
departs 10:13 AM ET · arrives 1:54 PM AST
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 94h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Thursday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at FDF more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to FDF?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.