Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 568 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

AA 568 · CLT → CLE

departs 11:22 AM ET · arrives 12:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Arrivals into CLE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 568 · CLT → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?