Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1396
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
B6 1396 · ATL → BOS
departs 4:43 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 71%
Wed 10/14 33%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 52%
Sat 10/17 42%
Sun 10/18 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.