Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1979
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
B6 1979 · DCA → FLL
departs 6:03 PM ET · arrives 9:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 44%
Sun 10/18 30%
Mon 10/19 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.