Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4175
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
G7 4175 · ORD → CID
departs 8:49 AM CT · arrives 9:57 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14 20%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 19%
Sun 10/18 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at CID more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CID?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CID that day
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↓
CID usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into CID at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.40 in
CID (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.