Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5814
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
PT 5814 · TRI → CLT
departs 5:01 AM ET · arrives 5:58 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Tue 10/13 14%
Wed 10/14 14%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave TRI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi forecast at TRI that day
↑
TRI is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
Weather at each end
TRI (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.