Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5859
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
PT 5859 · CAE → CLT
departs 4:53 AM ET · arrives 5:48 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14 11%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 8%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave CAE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
This route's recent record
↑
CAE is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
CAE (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.