Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3048 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

SY 3048 · BWI → MCI

departs 12:00 AM ET · arrives 1:03 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.9 mi forecast at MCI that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.46 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3048 · BWI → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?