Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3048 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

SY 3048 · BWI → MCI

departs 12:04 AM ET · arrives 1:58 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCI that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3048 · BWI → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?