Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3048 LANDED 1:20 AM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

SY 3048 · BWI → MCI

took off 12:09 AM ET · landed 1:20 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling360 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.55 in

MCI (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3048 · BWI → MCI

Odds over time