Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1162 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

UA 1162 · BQN → EWR

departs 12:15 AM AT · arrives 4:12 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 54h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,067 ft, thunderstorms forecast at BQN that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 12am departures from BQN are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

BQN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,067 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1162 · BQN → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?