Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2119
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
WN 2119 · MDW → MIA
departs 8:04 AM CT · arrives 12:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 16%
Mon 10/19 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↑
MDW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
8am departures from MDW are usually not late
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.82 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.