Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
TAP AIR PORTUGAL · FLIGHT TP 225SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
TP 225 · LIS → MIA
departs 5:35 PM WEST · arrives 9:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 117h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Friday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
29%chance · ±3 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.