Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 18, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 1508
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 25 Today
C5 1508 · SWO → OKC
departs 6:29 AM CT · arrives 7:26 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave SWO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SWO
Weather at each end
SWO (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OKC (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.