Wire

FAA now reports departure delays of 31–45 min at LaGuardia

What changed: range 16–30 → 31–45 min

The FAA’s airport status reports departure delays of 31–45 min at LaGuardia (LGA), citing “TM Initiatives:SWAP:WX”. The FAA describes the trend as “Increasing”.

Model lowers LaGuardia departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Friday to 54%

What changed: 59% → 54% since the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (same model, same window)

Tailodds’ model gives the 29 departures scheduled from LaGuardia 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 54% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 35%. From the 3:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

Probability 54%Horizon 4.5 hModel famB-sd-v4i

FAA updates JFK ground delay program

What changed: reason now “thunderstorms”

The FAA’s airport status lists a ground delay program for flights to JFK (JFK), citing “thunderstorms”; it gives an average delay of 60 min and a maximum of 133 min. Departures to JFK are given later takeoff times at their origin airports.

FAA reports ground delay program for Newark arrivals, average delay 72 min

The FAA’s airport status lists a ground delay program for flights to Newark (EWR), citing “other”; it gives an average delay of 72 min and a maximum of 137 min. Departures to EWR are given later takeoff times at their origin airports.

Model forecasts 54% delay risk for Newark departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

Tailodds’ model gives the 32 departures scheduled from Newark 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 54% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 33%. From the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

Probability 54%Horizon 5.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Model forecasts 57% delay risk for Newark departures 6–9 PM Friday

Tailodds’ model gives the 111 departures scheduled from Newark 6–9 PM Friday an average 57% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 37%. From the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

Probability 57%Horizon 2.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Model forecasts 64% delay risk for LaGuardia departures 6–9 PM Friday

Tailodds’ model gives the 98 departures scheduled from LaGuardia 6–9 PM Friday an average 64% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 39%. From the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

Probability 64%Horizon 2.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Model forecasts 49% delay risk for JFK departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

Tailodds’ model gives the 71 departures scheduled from JFK 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 49% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

Probability 49%Horizon 5.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Model forecasts 49% delay risk for JFK departures 6–9 PM Friday

Tailodds’ model gives the 109 departures scheduled from JFK 6–9 PM Friday an average 49% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

Probability 49%Horizon 2.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

FAA reports ground delay program for LaGuardia arrivals, average delay 31 min

The FAA’s airport status lists a ground delay program for flights to LaGuardia (LGA), citing “thunderstorms”; it gives an average delay of 31 min and a maximum of 88 min. Departures to LGA are given later takeoff times at their origin airports.