Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1870 LANDED 7:51 AM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

9K 1870 · LEB → BOS

took off 7:05 AM ET · landed 7:51 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEB

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

LEB (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1870 · LEB → BOS

Odds over time