Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 211 LANDED 10:35 AM ET, ~1 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

9K 211 · BOS → ISP

took off 9:31 AM ET · landed 10:35 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 9K's recent on-time record

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ISP

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ISP (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 211 · BOS → ISP

Odds over time